LDDT 2026
Week 3 scores
Week 3 Final

Win chance

Smurphs
i
The model's chance that Smurphs wins, from before kickoff through each live update. Above 50% is shaded in Smurphs's colour, below it in Burning Man's: the shaded side is the favourite. Quiet stretches between games are drawn short.
Pre-game: 50% Sep 27, 12:54 PM: 48% Sep 27, 12:58 PM: 50% Sep 27, 1:02 PM: 53% Sep 27, 1:04 PM: 56% Sep 27, 1:07 PM: 59% Sep 27, 1:09 PM: 55% Sep 27, 1:10 PM: 52% Sep 27, 1:12 PM: 46% Sep 27, 1:17 PM: 47% Sep 27, 1:20 PM: 40% Sep 27, 1:25 PM: 39% Sep 27, 1:30 PM: 41% Sep 27, 1:35 PM: 39% Sep 27, 1:40 PM: 38% Sep 27, 1:43 PM: 44% Sep 27, 1:44 PM: 42% Sep 27, 1:45 PM: 56% Sep 27, 1:47 PM: 59% Sep 27, 1:52 PM: 58% Sep 27, 1:57 PM: 56% Sep 27, 1:59 PM: 54% Sep 27, 2:04 PM: 54% Sep 27, 2:09 PM: 55% Sep 27, 2:12 PM: 46% Sep 27, 2:16 PM: 54% Sep 27, 2:18 PM: 56% Sep 27, 2:22 PM: 52% Sep 27, 2:24 PM: 54% Sep 27, 2:27 PM: 52% Sep 27, 2:32 PM: 50% Sep 27, 2:36 PM: 52% Sep 27, 2:39 PM: 58% Sep 27, 2:42 PM: 56% Sep 27, 2:43 PM: 60% Sep 27, 2:45 PM: 66% Sep 27, 2:48 PM: 62% Sep 27, 2:52 PM: 60% Sep 27, 2:53 PM: 51% Sep 27, 2:58 PM: 46% Sep 27, 2:59 PM: 44% Sep 27, 3:01 PM: 36% Sep 27, 3:02 PM: 34% Sep 27, 3:04 PM: 31% Sep 27, 3:10 PM: 29% Sep 27, 3:12 PM: 19% Sep 27, 3:16 PM: 17% Sep 27, 3:22 PM: 17% Sep 27, 3:25 PM: 14% Sep 27, 3:34 PM: 15% Sep 27, 3:41 PM: 14% Sep 27, 3:47 PM: 14% Sep 27, 3:52 PM: 14% Sep 27, 3:57 PM: 18% Sep 27, 3:58 PM: 15% Sep 27, 4:05 PM: 10% Sep 27, 4:10 PM: 10% Sep 27, 4:17 PM: 9% Sep 27, 4:24 PM: 8% Sep 27, 4:29 PM: 10% Sep 27, 4:35 PM: 10% Sep 27, 4:44 PM: 10% Sep 27, 4:50 PM: 10% Sep 27, 4:57 PM: 10% Sep 27, 5:03 PM: 10% Sep 27, 5:11 PM: 7% Sep 27, 5:14 PM: 4% Sep 27, 5:20 PM: 6% Sep 27, 5:26 PM: 4% Sep 27, 5:32 PM: 4% Sep 27, 5:37 PM: 6% Sep 27, 5:42 PM: 6% Sep 27, 5:47 PM: 6% Sep 27, 5:52 PM: 6% Sep 27, 5:57 PM: 5% Sep 27, 5:58 PM: 9% Sep 27, 6:05 PM: 8% Sep 27, 6:06 PM: 14% Sep 27, 6:12 PM: 14% Sep 27, 6:17 PM: 12% Sep 27, 6:23 PM: 11% Sep 27, 6:28 PM: 10% Sep 27, 6:38 PM: 12% Sep 27, 6:42 PM: 18% Sep 27, 6:43 PM: 14% Sep 27, 6:48 PM: 15% Sep 27, 6:53 PM: 15% Sep 27, 6:59 PM: 15% Sep 27, 7:06 PM: 15% Sep 27, 7:13 PM: 15% Sep 27, 7:19 PM: 15% Sep 27, 7:24 PM: 14% Sep 27, 7:31 PM: 14% Sep 27, 7:41 PM: 14% Sep 27, 7:46 PM: 13% Sep 27, 7:53 PM: 13% Sep 27, 7:57 PM: 22% Sep 27, 8:07 PM: 20% Sep 27, 8:12 PM: 20% Sep 27, 8:18 PM: 21% Sep 27, 8:30 PM: 18% Sep 27, 8:40 PM: 18% Sep 27, 8:53 PM: 17% Sep 27, 9:02 PM: 17% Sep 27, 9:24 PM: 15% Sep 27, 10:02 PM: 10% Sep 27, 10:05 PM: 8% Sep 27, 10:10 PM: 7% Sep 27, 10:20 PM: 8% Sep 27, 10:44 PM: 8% Sep 27, 11:09 PM: 5% Sep 27, 11:16 PM: 5% Sep 27, 11:25 PM: 5% Sep 27, 11:32 PM: 5% Sep 27, 11:42 PM: 5% Sep 28, 12:04 AM: 5% Sep 28, 12:10 AM: 5% Sep 28, 12:15 AM: 5% Sep 28, 7:29 PM: 6% Sep 28, 7:48 PM: 4% Sep 28, 7:54 PM: 4% Sep 28, 8:07 PM: 4% Sep 28, 8:13 PM: 1% Sep 28, 8:20 PM: 1% Sep 28, 8:42 PM: 1% Sep 28, 8:48 PM: 1% Sep 28, 8:54 PM: 1% Sep 28, 9:01 PM: 0% Sep 28, 9:07 PM: 0% Sep 28, 9:20 PM: 0% Sep 28, 9:29 PM: 0% Sep 28, 9:34 PM: 0% Sep 28, 9:47 PM: 0% Sep 28, 9:52 PM: 0% Sep 28, 9:58 PM: 0% Sep 28, 10:04 PM: 0% Sep 28, 10:10 PM: 0% Sep 28, 10:24 PM: 0% Sep 28, 10:33 PM: 0% Sep 28, 10:44 PM: 0% Sep 28, 10:50 PM: 0% Sep 28, 10:57 PM: 0% Sep 28, 11:11 PM: 0%
Pre-game Final

Categories

A tied game goes to whoever won Receiving, then the next category along, until one side has won one. 
i
Rule 2.05: a level game is settled on a rotating scorecard. Week 3 starts at category 3 (Rec) and moves along until one side has won a category.

Smurphs

14 starters

Burning Man

14 starters