Week 4
Final
Win chance
Smurphsi
The model's chance that Smurphs wins, from before kickoff through each live update. Above 50% is shaded in Smurphs's colour, below it in Shaved Cats's: the shaded side is the favourite. Quiet stretches between games are drawn short.
Categories
-
393
Pass705
i
Passing yards. Passing yards Bonus floor 500: at least double the other side and at least 500 earns two points. -
91
Rush2102x
i
Rushing yards. Rushing yards Bonus floor 200: at least double the other side and at least 200 earns two points. -
68
Rec110
i
Receiving yards. Receiving yards Bonus floor 250: at least double the other side and at least 250 earns two points. -
24
Pts20
i
Points scored. Points scored Bonus floor 38: at least double the other side and at least 38 earns two points. -
3
Turnoversfewest wins 4
i
INTs thrown + fumbles lost. Turnovers: interceptions thrown plus fumbles lost. Fewest wins. No doubling bonus in this category. -
54.5
Tackles33.5
i
Tackles + 0.5 x assists. Tackles: solo tackles plus half of each assist Bonus floor 36.5: at least double the other side and at least 36.5 earns two points. -
5
Disruption7
i
TFL + passes defensed + sacks. Disruption: tackles for loss plus passes defensed plus sacks Bonus floor 11.5: at least double the other side and at least 11.5 earns two points. -
1.5
Takeaways2.5
i
INTs + 0.5 x forced fumbles + 0.5 x fumble recoveries. Takeaways: interceptions plus half of each forced fumble and fumble recovery No doubling bonus in this category.
A tied game goes to whoever won Points, then the next category along, until one side has won one.
i
Rule 2.05: a level game is settled on a rotating scorecard. Week 4 starts at category 4 (Pts) and moves along until one side has won a category.
Smurphs
14 starters- Jacoby Brissett Final ARI 2436 NYG Pass 166 Rush 18 Pts 12
- Trevor Lawrence Final JAX 2217 CIN Pass 227 Pts 6
- Bhayshul Tuten Final JAX 2217 CIN Rush 73 Rec 18
- Davante Adams Final LA 2420 PHI Rec 32
- Kalif Raymond Final CHI 2312 NYJ Rec 6
- Marvin Harrison Jr. Final ARI 2436 NYG Rec 12 Pts 6 Tackles 1
- Dre Greenlaw Final SF 2414 DEN Tackles 9.5 Takeaways 0.5
- Alex Singleton Final DEN 1424 SF Tackles 10.5 Disruption 1
- Christian Elliss Final NE 2926 BUF Tackles 5
- Quay Walker Final LV 2730 KC Tackles 5 Disruption 2
- Edgerrin CooperInj Final GB 1714 TB Tackles 6.5 Disruption 2 Takeaways 1
- Brandon Jones Final DEN 1424 SF Tackles 7.5
- Quentin Lake Final LA 2420 PHI Tackles 4
- Kevin Winston Final TEN 1824 BAL Tackles 5.5
Shaved Cats
14 starters- Dak Prescott Final DAL 3430 HOU Pass 335 Rush 7 Pts 6
- Cam Ward Final TEN 1824 BAL Pass 222 Rush 27 Pts 8
- Jalon Daniels Final TB 1417 GB Pass 148 Rush 55 Pts 6
- D'Andre Swift Final CHI 2312 NYJ Rush 58 Rec 16 Turnovers 1
- Jeremiyah Love Final ARI 2436 NYG Rush 63 Rec -8
- Michael Wilson Final ARI 2436 NYG Rec 95
- Dalton Kincaid Final BUF 2629 NE Rec 7
- Gregory Rousseau Final BUF 2629 NE Tackles 3 Disruption 2
- Aidan Hutchinson Final DET 2632 CAR Tackles 2.5
- Foyesade Oluokun Final JAX 2217 CIN Tackles 6.5 Disruption 1 Takeaways 1.5
- Payton Wilson Final PIT 2427 CLE Tackles 8 Disruption 2
- Daxton Hill Final CIN 1722 JAX Tackles 2 Takeaways 0.5
- Jeremy Chinn Final LV 2730 KC Tackles 4
- Kyle Hamilton Final BAL 2418 TEN Tackles 6.5 Disruption 2 Takeaways 0.5