Week 5
Final
Win chance
Smurphsi
The model's chance that Smurphs wins, from before kickoff through each live update. Above 50% is shaded in Smurphs's colour, below it in Mittens's: the shaded side is the favourite. Quiet stretches between games are drawn short.
Categories
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623
Pass405
i
Passing yards. Passing yards Bonus floor 500: at least double the other side and at least 500 earns two points. -
42
Rush2012x
i
Rushing yards. Rushing yards Bonus floor 200: at least double the other side and at least 200 earns two points. -
120
Rec165
i
Receiving yards. Receiving yards Bonus floor 250: at least double the other side and at least 250 earns two points. -
48
Pts26
i
Points scored. Points scored Bonus floor 38: at least double the other side and at least 38 earns two points. -
2
Turnoversfewest wins 3
i
INTs thrown + fumbles lost. Turnovers: interceptions thrown plus fumbles lost. Fewest wins. No doubling bonus in this category. -
30.5
Tackles36
i
Tackles + 0.5 x assists. Tackles: solo tackles plus half of each assist Bonus floor 36.5: at least double the other side and at least 36.5 earns two points. -
3
Disruption7
i
TFL + passes defensed + sacks. Disruption: tackles for loss plus passes defensed plus sacks Bonus floor 11.5: at least double the other side and at least 11.5 earns two points. -
2
Takeaways1
i
INTs + 0.5 x forced fumbles + 0.5 x fumble recoveries. Takeaways: interceptions plus half of each forced fumble and fumble recovery No doubling bonus in this category.
A tied game goes to whoever won Turnovers, then the next category along, until one side has won one.
i
Rule 2.05: a level game is settled on a rotating scorecard. Week 5 starts at category 5 (Turnovers) and moves along until one side has won a category.
Smurphs
14 starters- Jacoby Brissett Final ARI 2145 DET Pass 292 Rush 19 Rec 7
- Trevor Lawrence Final JAX 1917 PHI Pass 331 Rush 25 Pts 12
- Davante Adams Final/OT LA 3437 BUF Rec 51 Pts 12
- Kalif Raymond Final CHI 731 GB Rush -2 Rec 6
- Nico Collins Final HOU 263 TEN Rec 56
- Mack Wilson Final ARI 2145 DET Tackles 5
- Dre Greenlaw Final SF 3229 SEA Tackles 2.5
- Alex Singleton Final DEN 2317 LAC Tackles 6 Disruption 1
- Quay Walker Final LV 1745 NE Tackles 2.5
- Brandon Jones Final DEN 2317 LAC Tackles 3 Disruption 2 Takeaways 1.5
- Quentin Lake Final/OT LA 3437 BUF Tackles 5
- Christian Izien Final DET 4521 ARI Tackles 0.5
- Kevin Winston Final TEN 326 HOU No stats
- Jonas Sanker Final NO 1323 MIN Pts 6 Tackles 6 Takeaways 0.5
Mittens
14 starters- Josh Allen Final/OT BUF 3734 LA Pass 210 Rush 121 Pts 14
- Sam Darnold Final SEA 2932 SF Pass 195 Rush 5 Pts 6
- Rachaad White Final/OT WAS 2727 NYG Rush 18 Rec 2
- Quinshon Judkins Final CLE 1217 NYJ Rush 44 Rec 6
- Garrett Wilson Final NYJ 1712 CLE Rec 104 Pts 6
- Zay Flowers Final/OT BAL 3023 ATL Rush 13 Rec 53
- Alex Anzalone Final TB 2416 DAL Tackles 3 Disruption 1 Takeaways 1
- Tremaine Edmunds Final/OT NYG 2727 WAS Tackles 7.5 Disruption 2
- Robert Spillane Final NE 4517 LV Tackles 3
- Cody Barton Final TEN 326 HOU Tackles 4.5
- Jamien Sherwood Final NYJ 1712 CLE Tackles 3.5 Disruption 1
- Trenton Simpson Final/OT BAL 3023 ATL Tackles 6 Disruption 2
- Dee Winters Final DAL 1624 TB Tackles 8 Disruption 1
- Andre Cisco Final NYJ 1712 CLE Tackles 0.5