Commodore Puddles vs Burning Man, week 5

Week 5 Final

Win chance

Commodore Puddles

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The model's chance that Commodore Puddles wins, from before kickoff through each live update. Above 50% is shaded in Commodore Puddles's colour, below it in Burning Man's: the shaded side is the favourite. Quiet stretches between games are drawn short.

Pre-game Final

Categories

568 Pass
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Passing yards. Passing yards Bonus floor 500: at least double the other side and at least 500 earns two points.
416
91 Rush
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Rushing yards. Rushing yards Bonus floor 200: at least double the other side and at least 200 earns two points.
3142x
2x265 Rec
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Receiving yards. Receiving yards Bonus floor 250: at least double the other side and at least 250 earns two points.
10
50 Pts
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Points scored. Points scored Bonus floor 38: at least double the other side and at least 38 earns two points.
36
0 Turnovers
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INTs thrown + fumbles lost. Turnovers: interceptions thrown plus fumbles lost. Fewest wins. No doubling bonus in this category.
fewest wins 1
36 Tackles
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Tackles + 0.5 x assists. Tackles: solo tackles plus half of each assist Bonus floor 36.5: at least double the other side and at least 36.5 earns two points.
41.5
9.5 Disruption
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TFL + passes defensed + sacks. Disruption: tackles for loss plus passes defensed plus sacks Bonus floor 11.5: at least double the other side and at least 11.5 earns two points.
6
0 Takeaways
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INTs + 0.5 x forced fumbles + 0.5 x fumble recoveries. Takeaways: interceptions plus half of each forced fumble and fumble recovery No doubling bonus in this category.
0.5

A tied game goes to whoever won Turnovers, then the next category along, until one side has won one.

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Rule 2.05: a level game is settled on a rotating scorecard. Week 5 starts at category 5 (Turnovers) and moves along until one side has won a category.