Week 6
Final
Win chance
Smurphsi
The model's chance that Smurphs wins, from before kickoff through each live update. Above 50% is shaded in Smurphs's colour, below it in Risotto Buzzkill's: the shaded side is the favourite. Quiet stretches between games are drawn short.
Categories
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524
Pass550
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Passing yards. Passing yards Bonus floor 500: at least double the other side and at least 500 earns two points. -
57
Rush84
i
Rushing yards. Rushing yards Bonus floor 200: at least double the other side and at least 200 earns two points. -
179
Rec3602x
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Receiving yards. Receiving yards Bonus floor 250: at least double the other side and at least 250 earns two points. -
36
Pts36
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Points scored. Points scored Bonus floor 38: at least double the other side and at least 38 earns two points. -
2
Turnoversfewest wins 2
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INTs thrown + fumbles lost. Turnovers: interceptions thrown plus fumbles lost. Fewest wins. No doubling bonus in this category. -
42.5
Tackles41
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Tackles + 0.5 x assists. Tackles: solo tackles plus half of each assist Bonus floor 36.5: at least double the other side and at least 36.5 earns two points. -
10
Disruption11
i
TFL + passes defensed + sacks. Disruption: tackles for loss plus passes defensed plus sacks Bonus floor 11.5: at least double the other side and at least 11.5 earns two points. -
1
Takeaways1
i
INTs + 0.5 x forced fumbles + 0.5 x fumble recoveries. Takeaways: interceptions plus half of each forced fumble and fumble recovery No doubling bonus in this category.
A tied game goes to whoever won Tackles, then the next category along, until one side has won one.
i
Rule 2.05: a level game is settled on a rotating scorecard. Week 6 starts at category 6 (Tackles) and moves along until one side has won a category.
Smurphs
14 starters- Jacoby Brissett Final ARI 1816 LA Pass 218 Rush 2 Turnovers 1
- Trevor Lawrence Final JAX 3134 HOU Pass 306 Rush 11 Pts 24
- Bhayshul Tuten Final JAX 3134 HOU Rush 39 Rec 48 Pts 12
- Davante AdamsInj Final LA 1618 ARI Rec 39
- Kalif Raymond Final CHI 3123 ATL Rec 18
- Nico Collins Final HOU 3431 JAX Rush 5 Rec 74
- Mack Wilson Final ARI 1816 LA Tackles 6.5
- Alex Singleton Final/OT DEN 1714 SEA Tackles 8.5 Disruption 1
- Quay Walker Final LV 3033 BUF Tackles 4.5 Disruption 2
- Quinyon Mitchell Final PHI 1425 CAR Tackles 3.5 Disruption 3
- Keionte Scott Final/OT TB 1926 PIT Tackles 6 Disruption 2
- Brandon Jones Final/OT DEN 1714 SEA Tackles 5.5
- Quentin Lake Final LA 1618 ARI Tackles 6.5 Disruption 1 Takeaways 1
- Jonas Sanker Final NO 3427 NYG Tackles 1.5 Disruption 1
Risotto Buzzkill
14 starters- Daniel Jones Final IND 2026 TEN Pass 269 Rush 30 Pts 6
- Bryce Young Final CAR 2514 PHI Pass 281 Rush 6 Pts 12
- J.K. Dobbins Final/OT DEN 1714 SEA Rush 41 Rec 5 Pts 6
- Mike EvansInj Final SF 2317 WAS Rec 94
- A.J. Brown Final NE 2619 NYJ Rec 27
- Josh Downs Final IND 2026 TEN Rush 7 Rec 40
- Tre Tucker Final LV 3033 BUF Rec 97 Pts 12
- Jalen Coker Final CAR 2514 PHI Rec 97
- Bobby Okereke Final CAR 2514 PHI Tackles 7.5 Disruption 6
- Nakobe Dean Final LV 3033 BUF Tackles 7.5 Disruption 1
- Zyon McCollum Final/OT TB 1926 PIT Tackles 9 Disruption 1
- Dee Alford Final BUF 3330 LV Tackles 1.5 Disruption 1
- Kevin Byard Final NE 2619 NYJ Tackles 5.5 Disruption 1
- Amani Hooker Final TEN 2620 IND Tackles 10 Disruption 1 Takeaways 1